Object
Draft Core Strategy and Policies Focused Review
Representation ID: 860
Received: 10/03/2014
Respondent: Northern Fringe Protection Group
Number of people: 323
Legally compliant? Not specified
Sound? Not specified
Duty to co-operate? Not specified
Table 5 should include the latest jobs growth estimates from 2011 to 2031. These differ from the 2012 EEFM data. In particular, the 2013 EEFM forecast for new retail jobs in 2031 is over twice the 2012 forecast. Such differences illustrate the degree of caution that needs to be placed on such long range forecasts. The EEFM employment estimates are derived from the 'Business Register and Employment Survey' which is survey data. Longer term historic growth trends for job creation need to be better considered when assessing future growth scenarios as these smooth out the effects of "boom and bust".
See attached.